Polar Bear 5K Prediction Run

Rochester, United States • 2 Jan 2027

Polar Bear 5K Prediction Run : Rochester MN

The Polar Bear is a 5K prediction run organized by the Rochester Running Club at 116 17th Avenue Northwest in Rochester, MN. Participants predict their own 5K finish time and must begin the course so that they cross the finish at a predetermined finish signal. The event does not allow participants to wear or use watches or any timing device, and finishing before the predetermined finish signal results in disqualification.

The course will begin and end on the trail near Minnesota Treads and the organizers intend to use the Cascade Lake route. Packet pickup is available at Minnesota Treads prior to the run. A carved Polar Bear award will be given to the first ten people to cross the line at the finish signal. Winners will be announced immediately after the run in the Event Center room at Charlie's Eatery & Pub; attendees may remain there for food and beverages while results are announced.

Registration uses tiered pricing. Through 12/14/26 the fee is $20 for Rochester Running Club members and $25 for non-members, and this pricing includes a race gift. Later registration increases the member and non-member fees, with higher rates listed for the period immediately before the event and for race day. Visit the organization's website for the most recent information.

Race information

5 km
Visit the organization's website for the most recent information.
Trail runs nearby

Teams of two race head to head over a just under 300 yards obstacle course with dry obstacles and a likely muddy section in West Concord on July 25, 2026. Open to adults 18 and up; registration fee is $15.

An 11 mile trail race on the Douglas State Trail in Oronoco on August 1, 2026. The course runs on paved rail trail under a tree canopy, celebrates a 50th anniversary, and includes a race gift plus post race refreshments.

Tour de Essex on October 10, 2026 at Essex Park in Rochester MN features a trail 7k, a road 10k, and an Essex Challenge for runners who enter both. All event profits support trail maintenance.

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