Polar Bear 5K Prediction Run

Event overview

The Polar Bear 5K Prediction Run is organized by the Rochester Running Club and takes place in Rochester, Minnesota on January 3, 2026. The course will begin and end on the trail near Minnesota Treads and is currently planned to utilize Cascade Lake. The event uses a prediction format: each participant predicts their finish time and starts earlier so they aim to cross the finish at the official race end. The race does not allow watches or other timing devices at any time, and the finish-line clock is not visible. The first ten participants to cross the line at the official end will receive a carved Polar Bear prize. Entry includes a race gift.

Registration and logistics

The event location is listed as 116 17th Avenue Northwest, Rochester, MN. Packet pickup will be available at Minnesota Treads before the run. Registration fees change by date and membership status: early registration is $20 for members and $25 for non-members through 12/14/25; mid registration is $25 for members and $30 for non-members from 12/15/25 through 12/31/25; raceday registration is listed as $30 for members and $35 for non-members. The event page shows 28 participants registered. A course map is planned to be posted prior to the race. Visit the organization's website for the most recent information.